Thursday, November 14, 2013

Presentation by Diana Bowers, Superintendent of HCS, at Colgate University

Diana Bowers, Superintendent of HCS, gave a talk entitled "On the Potential Merger Between HCS and Morrisville-Eaton," held at Colgate University on 11/13.  This summary of the talk and Q&A was written by Heather Roller and edited by Astrid Helfant. If you attended this meeting as well, please post comments or additions.

Dr. Bowers used her same power point slides as in last week's PTO meeting. Of note was that Dr. Bowers brought up several points of contention from that community meeting, without any prodding from yesterday's Colgate University audience. 

For example: Dr. Bowers volunteered that sometimes state incentive money (used to promote mergers) came with increased GEA (Gap Elimination Adjustment - whereby the state takes back school aid in order to balance the state budget). What this means is that the state might give money with one hand while taking it away with the other.  She provided the example of a recent merger between the Canisteo and Greenwood Central School Districts in Steuben County, New York, in which the state gave incentive money but then required a higher GEA.

Also, Dr. Bowers acknowledged that the location of the high school was the major bone of contention during the Community Advisory Committee meetings between Hamilton and Morrisville. And although she continued to stress that the short timeline for the newly merged board would mean that they would surely stick to the recommended school configurations (the "high school will be here"), Dr. Bowers did say that it might only be kept that way for the first year or so.  Several members of the audience hammered this point home -- that it would be up to the new board, yet to be elected, with a possible Morrisville majority.  One person said he was doubtful that future boards (a few years down the line) would preserve the vision of the original districts; they might only look for short-term gains, and someone would have to lose out:  "If we were the bigger district, this would be a much more optimistic moment."  Dr. Bowers then acknowledged that elementary schools in Earlville and Oriskany Falls have closed, despite original plans to keep them open.  (For a review of recent merger outcomes in the state, see https://sites.google.com/site/hamiltoncentraloptions/home/school-mergers-in-ny-state)

The issue of transportation came up mostly in the Q&A.  One person put it this way: we would be transferring our money from one pot (teachers/staff) to another pot (transportation), and that is something she does not support -- longer times on buses, more pollution, etc.

The issue of teacher layoffs also came up.  Dr. Bowers indicated that the SES Study Team's suggestions for reducing staff would not be the ones she would follow, if she were superintendent. There was a lot of talk about what she would do if she became the superintendent of the new district. It was pointed out that this was uncertain. Dr. Bowers tried to be reassuring by stating that the current superintendent at MECS shares a similar philosophy when it comes to which teacher positions should be cut and which programs should be expanded once districts are merged.  She noted that the three men who conducted the SES study would not be applying for the new superintendent position of the merged school district! As evident from their report, these retired superintendents acted like businessmen, not like educators with the best in mind for our students.

Another issue had to do with the data on the slides, which mainly covered the bleak years of 2006-2010.  A good question was raised as to whether we are "riding out a cycle here," and whether things are going to improve (or already have improved, but we just don't have the data yet).

Dr. Bowers mentioned past conversations with Colgate administrators (Joanne Borfitz, David Hale, Jeff Herbst) about how Colgate could help support the school district. One way in which Colgate has been able to support is through the additional $300,000 (on top of its yearly contribution of $200,000), which is being used to pay off debt. This amount was strategic in the sense that once Colgate completes its 3-year commitment to this extra amount, this debt will have been paid off and HCS won't necessarily notice the subsequent reduction in Colgate's support back down to $200,000 per year. 

In general, however, Dr. Bowers seemed pessimistic about audience proposals for more local partnerships in lieu of the merger as "we've been doing out-of-the-box thinking for the past 5 years."  One such proposal was for HCS to offer fewer than its current 9 AP classes as students could simply take these at Colgate. Dr. Bowers countered this with the fact that the school had changed its schedule a few years back so as to enable high school students to take more Colgate classes. However, she had received feedback from HCS students who said that they prefer to take such advanced classes in house. Astrid Helfant argued in favor of maintaining AP classes at the high school, as the students get an incredible amount of guidance from their teacher due to the daily classes and lab sessions every other day (in the case of AP science classes) as opposed to the 14-week semester at Colgate during which classes meet 2-3 times per week with a once per week lab session for science.

Another audience member noted the "nightmare scenario" of not getting the promised incentive money and having lost control over school:  "It's so surprising that you would be doing this on the grounds of state promises," he said, that you acknowledge have been broken in the past.  Dr. Bowers' response, in a nutshell, was that she does not want us to blame her later for not at least considering the merger option, despite these reasonable concerns.  And if we vote the merger down on Dec. 10th, we should still engage in a conversation about how to deal with HCS's very real financial constraints.

Related to this was the issue of dependence on state aid.  Dr. Bowers acknowledged that we would be far more dependent on state aid as a merged district.  She thought that HCS debt was "about the same" as Morrisville's; several audience members tried to set the record straight on this, but we didn't come up with the actual numbers (that Morrisville has about 70% more school debt than we do) until she had moved on to other topics.

Wednesday, November 13, 2013

More (Most) Students Against the Merger

In a more representative sample than that reported in October's Students Against the Merger, we have an actual poll of HCS Students Weigh in on Merger and Say 'No'
A poll of 234 students in sixth through 12th grades taken by the Student Council last week found that:
  • 76.1 percent of all students oppose the proposed merger
  • 14.5 percent are in favor of it
  • 9.4 percent are undecided.

Saturday, November 2, 2013

Comparing HCS and M-E Academic Performance

November 2, 2013

According to research, mergers work best when the two school districts are very similar (and geographically very close together). Mergers between dissimilar districts lead to tensions and conflict. Although Hamilton and Morrisville-Eaton are good neighbors and similar in some ways, we are also quite different in others. For example property values and voting records. Hamilton's property values are over 40% higher than Morrisville-Eaton's.  Our response to cuts in state spending has also been different: Hamilton has voted to raise our tax rate to retain programs, while Morrisville has not.


In terms of academics, Hamilton consistently outscores Morrisville-Eaton. First, the data, and then a discussion of what we should do about it:



NY State Assessment Test Results, ELA/Math 2013



Tables:
ELA = English Language Arts
Level 1: Students performing at this level are well below proficient in standards for their grade.
Level 2: Students performing at this level are below proficient in standards for their grade.
Level 3: Students performing at this level are proficient in standards for their grade.
Level 4: Students performing at this level excel above the standards for their grade.
Level 3+4: Students who are performing at or above the standards for their grade








Morrisville-Eaton
Group
#Tested
%Level 1
%Level 2
%Level 3
%Level 4
Mean Scale Score
% Passed=L3+L4
Grade 3 ELA
50
52
40
8
0
276
8
Grade 3 Math
51
56.9
25.5
15.7
2
274
17.7
Grade 4 ELA
60
36.7
45
16.7
1.7
290
18.4
Grade 4 Math
60
40
40
16.7
3.3
287
20
Grade 5 ELA
51
45.1
33.3
13.7
7.8
290
21.5
Grade 5 Math
51
54.9
27.5
17.6
0
287
17.6
Grade 6 ELA
54
29.6
48.1
11.1
11.1
296
22.2
Grade 6 Math
56
51.8
33.9
8.9
5.4
277
14.3
Grade 7 ELA
54
29.6
46.3
16.7
7.4
299
24.1
Grade 7 Math
54
44.4
38.9
16.7
0
289
16.7
Grade 8 ELA
53
34
30.2
28.3
7.5
298
35.8
Grade 8 Math
52
32.7
46.2
21.2
0
296
21.2

Hamilton Central School
Group
#Tested
%Level 1
%Level 2
%Level 3
%Level 4
Mean Scale Score
% Passed=L3+L4
Grade 3 ELA
51
27.5
39.2
27.5
5.9
309
33.4
Grade 3 Math
51
25.5
29.4
35.3
9.8
308
45.1
Grade 4 ELA
46
23.9
41.3
28.3
6.5
302
34.8
Grade 4 Math
46
32.6
41.3
17.4
8.7
293
26.1
Grade 5 ELA
37
35.1
40.5
13.5
10.8
300
24.3
Grade 5 Math
37
29.7
37.8
21.6
10.8
303
32.4
Grade 6 ELA
40
15
47.5
12.5
25
311
37.5
Grade 6 Math
40
25
27.5
15
32.5
315
47.5
Grade 7 ELA
31
9.7
19.4
35.5
35.5
329
71
Grade 7 Math
31
16.1
29
38.7
16.1
320
54.8
Grade 8 ELA
41
26.8
26.8
24.4
22
311
46.4
Grade 8 Math
41
29.3
41.5
24.4
4.9
297
29.3










NOTE: in 2013, the NYS Assessment test was revised to fit the Common Core standards. As a result, statewide scores dropped significantly compared to previous years. The statewide average for passing (Level 3=Level 4) was 31%.

HCS has also outscored on the SAT:

School
Class of:
# of Test Takers
Reading
Math
Writing
HCS
2009
34
519
518
520
M-E
2009
27
468
486
457






HCS
2010
31
512
526
520
M-E
2010
35
501
487
462






HCS
2011
44
522
510
502
M-E
2011
35
499
505
497






HCS
2012
41
549
538
530
M-E
2012
40
469
470
442






HCS
2013
31
533
550
541
M-E
2013
35
470
430
450
Data: HSC School Board report average SAT scores in 2013.)  

One reaction to this information is to conclude that HCS should merge with M-E because this will help M-E students perform as well as HCS students. I have thought a lot about this, and I have concluded that there are some problems with this view.  

First, it is condescending and snooty, assuming that wonderful Hamiltonians would be the savior for those "poor" M-E kids.  


Second, what evidence do we have that a merger would improve academic outcomes for M-E? In order to fix a problem, you need to know that source of that problem and have good reasons to believe that the solution you choose addresses that source. 


According to Diana Bowers, the gap in academic outcomes is due to assessments and reforms conducted at HCS. She says that if you look at the test scores from 10 years ago, HCS was not doing this well. But they ran an assessment to figure out what the problems were, and changed their teaching practices accordingly. M-E hasn't done that, but they plan to do so soon. My impression of Diana's comments is that she expects them to improve just like HCS did, without a merger.
 
We also know the following:
  • Research shows that disadvantaged and/or disadvantaged students populations perform better in smaller schools than in larger ones (see Leithwood & Jantzi’s 2007 article, Review of Empirical Evidence About School Size Effects.) High performing students do well in either kind of school.  
  • In a merged school district, students from both M-E and Hamilton would be spending more time on the bus. That will not help their academics.
  • Mergers are disruptive, and the transition period would be unsettling. That would also be distracting from academics. (If the merger does pass, I would hope that members of both communities would put in our best effort to make it as smooth as possible regardless of how they voted. But some disruption and distraction is just unavoidable.)
  • The merger is not likely to yield more resources for academics. A merged district will have just as many buildings to heat and run, plus more bus runs to fuel. A merged district will have to have single tax rate. I can't imagine that Morrisville can easily raise their rate to match Hamilton's, but if we lower our tax rate to match theirs, that's less money for the school. (If the merger fails, both communities will still need to figure out how to address financial shortfalls for their schools. I hope that everyone would pitch in energetically to help with this, regardless of how they voted.)